The Power

Saturday, October 18, 2008

The Reverse Bradley Effect


The Bradley Effect describes a situation where polls says that the black candidate is going to win, and the white candidate does.
Los Angeles Mayor Tom Bradley, an African-American Democrat, in 1982 unexpectedly lost his candidacy for governor of California. His defeat followed voters telling pollsters they prefer a black candidate and then voting the other way. In California's primary last Tuesday, Obama lost by a landslide 10 percentage points after a late survey showed him ahead by 13 points and other polls gave him a smaller lead.

So now you have the Reverse Bradley Effect, thats when you have many whites voters that say that they will not vote for a black man, but when they get behind that curtin they will vote for a black man, but will tell their friends that they did not vote for that black man!

So if Obama does win, he will win because of the Reverse Bradley Effect...

No comments: